Saturday, January 26, 2013

Post-mortem (also obligatory)

Very delayed post-mortem:
I came upon USS Clueless just as he ceased posting, but I enjoyed his farewell (and thanks for all the fish), and was impressed by his depth of knowledge - postings on WWII and evolution amongst others.  Still I was surprised at his 2008 predictions:

2. The US hasn't suffered a terrorist attack by al Qaeda since 9/11, but we'll get at least one during Obama's term.

4. Iran will get nuclear weapons. There will be nuclear war between Iran and Israel. (This is the only irreversibly terrible thing I see upcoming, and it's very bad indeed.)
6. Obama will not be re-elected in 2012. He may even end up doing an LBJ and not even running again.
Obviously these three did not happen, but more importantly he also made the comment "And now we need to show the lefties how to lose. Our mission for the next four years is to be in opposition without becoming deranged." but the derangement did occur.
recently a friend of mine put up his predictions for the next 4 years & listed a major terrorist attack as a will happen - given that we've gone now 11+ years since 9/11, it's obviously a very very remote possibility.  Yes, it could still happen, but we have a good gauge of our enemies strengths.  There will very likely be a shoe bomber or underwear bomber or time square bomber or LAX shooter or....well the list can go on at some length, but all of the instances killed a relatively small number of people.

Will list my predictions for the next 4 years:  

Official unemployment will continue to creep down ever so slowly and go below 7 percent before the next recession.
Core inflation will average less than 4% per annum.
There will be no major terrorist attack will occur on U.S. soil. There will of course be underwear bombers or shoe bombers or LAX shooters or...
There will be NO form of gun confiscation - some minor tweaks to existing laws.
GOP (will guess Christie) will become next president.

And my previous metrics for Obama.  Nope on 1, 2, and 6.  Yes on 3, 4, 5 & 7.  I have been disappointed by what a statist (not a liberal) Obama is.  Specifically drug policy, drone warrior, and secrecy fetish.

  1. cut deficit in ½ as measured by % of GDP. Must be for last year in office or 2 consecutive years is top of list.
  2. closing Gitmo.
  3. over riding Bush's executive order sealing past presidential papers.
  4. ending DADT.
  5. rescinding Bush's Cuba restrictions.
  6. enacting some sensible policy for medical marijuana.
  7. sensible withdrawal from Iraq.

The return of Saturday Night Wine Blogging - bling edition

yes, i know it is déclassé to leave on the label.  Deepest nose i've ever inhaled.  Black cherry palate. 

Emeril's Mac N'Cheese (to be honest, i prefer mine a bit gooshier)
the most expensive bottle i'll ever purchase and a fine apple cobbler.

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