Tuesday, December 20, 2005

11 down - 37 to go

Thinking over what I disliked about Bush as president, it's not only his arrogance, but his disregard for rule-of-law, his presumption of excessive executive privilege, and his cavalier attitude towards human rights. For the most recent brou-ha-ha, concerning NSA wiretaps without authorization, others have done a fine job parsing the law & the legalese response from Gonzales. Cheney mentioned that during his career, more constraints had been put on the president and his beliefs fit well with Bush. While I belief that Bush will back off despite his vows & start to obey FISA, this dust-up will suck up that much more legislative oxygen (it's been a bit odd that many right wing blogs haven't clued in that the Dems just need to run out the clock now and each brou-ha-ha helps them do just that).

Metrics? Since last month's update both Iraq and the Doha round had major events.

The only wager worth updating is troop strength. The political pressure - both here & in Iraq is strong enough that I expect our troop strength to dip below 100,000 by the end of 2006. At that point, the ability of the Iraqis to maintain security will probably be key. Still can't see troop strength going below 50,000 by the end of Bush's term.

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