Tuesday, January 18, 2005

Evaluating our approach to the rest of the axis of evil

Just finished reading last month's Atlantic Monthly article on Iran (abstract only) & this month's Foreign Affairs's article on N. Korea to discern Bush's likely approach to the two countries during his second term. Part of the interest is based on Seymour Hersh's article in the recent New Yorker that kicked up a mini-ruckus & induced fears in a liberal acquaintance. To summarize the articles:

Iran:

N. Korea

Of the two articles, the Foreign Affairs is clearly the superior, so I'll recommend it to the folks that are receiving this posting. The authour is the "Chairman of the Task Force on U.S. Korea Policy at the Center for International Peace...and the authour of Korean Endgame." The article filled in the gaps in my understanding nicely: even though N. Korea and the 6-party talks have been in the news, I never understood the actual charges levied, or how seriously to take the threat of N. Korea having 'the bomb'.

Given that I've heard minimal saber rattling from Bush on Iran/N. Korea - almost a passive approach in both cases - I'll conclude that we will not attack either country, Iran will have the bomb within ~5 years, and they will mimic Israel's policy of nuclear ambiguity.



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